Tactical voting

Birmingham Erdington

Our tactical voting recommendation in Birmingham Erdington:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Birmingham Erdington?

As a rule, we don’t make a tactical voting recommendation where the leading opposition party is polling over 15% ahead of any other party. However, in this seat, there are local factors that will not be captured by our polling, meaning that the seat could be less safe than the polling suggests. For this reason, we are giving the Labour party our tactical voting recommendation in this constituency, because they hold the seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Birmingham Erdington?

It looks like Birmingham Erdington is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Birmingham Erdington

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 21.03%
Labour 59.70%
Liberal Democrats 4.04%
Reform 10.44%
Green 3.25%
Other 1.42%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Birmingham Erdington?


What's happened in Birmingham Erdington

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

23m 29s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 29m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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