Tactical voting


Our tactical voting recommendation in Carlisle:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Carlisle?

Carlisle has swung between Labour and the Conservatives in the past. It's now a target for Labour, even though boundary changes favour the Conservatives. It is not a target seat for the Lib Dems or Greens. While Labour leads in the latest polling, the Conservatives will be hoping to squeeze the vote of Reform UK to hold off Labour. Lib Dem and Green voters can lend their tactical support to Labour to prevent this from happening.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Carlisle?

It looks like Carlisle is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Carlisle

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 34.33%
Labour 47.11%
Liberal Democrats 6.42%
Reform 6.89%
Green 3.26%
Other 1.87%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Carlisle?


What's happened in Carlisle

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

49m 45s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 8m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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