Tactical voting

Dover and Deal

Our tactical voting recommendation in Dover and Deal:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Dover and Deal?

Dover and Deal (previously just called Dover, although the constituency still included Deal) has gone with the national winner in every election since 1951, except for the two 1974 elections when it stayed Conservative while the country narrowly voted Labour. Labour did well in the 2023 local elections here, confirming the party’s role as the leading challenger to the Tories. No other opposition party is treating Dover & Deal as a target seat. Latest polling shows Labour with a clear lead over the Conservatives, but the margin has fluctuated; polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Dover and Deal?

It looks like Dover and Deal is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Dover and Deal

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 34.52%
Labour 42.12%
Liberal Democrats 5.49%
Reform 10.12%
Green 5.61%
Other 2.01%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Dover and Deal?


What's happened in Dover and Deal

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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