Tactical voting

Esher and Walton

Our tactical voting recommendation in Esher and Walton:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Esher and Walton?

The Lib Dems came close to defeating Conservative MP Dominic Raab in the 2019 election in Esher and Walton, which was previously a Tory safe seat. Raab is standing down at this election. The Lib Dems have continued to do well in local elections in Elmbridge, the borough council for Esher and Walton. Polling has found fluctuations in party support locally, with some showing the Conservatives ahead on a low share of the vote because of a divided opposition; but the latest data shows the Lib Dems ahead with Conservatives a clear second and Labour in third place.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Esher and Walton?

It looks like Esher and Walton is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Esher and Walton

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 27.23%
Labour 24.04%
Liberal Democrats 34.83%
Reform 11.47%
Green 1.56%
Other 0.78%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Esher and Walton?


What's happened in Esher and Walton

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 20

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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