Tactical voting

Hertford and Stortford

Our tactical voting recommendation in Hertford and Stortford:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Hertford and Stortford?

Hertford and Stortford has been a Conservative constituency since it was created in 1983, usually by a secure margin. However, social and political change have made it less of a stronghold, as demonstrated by the massive Conservative losses to several parties in the May 2023 local elections, and the Tory majority here over Labour being smaller in 2019 than it was in 2015 or 2010. While Greens and Lib Dems can win wards in local elections, the parliamentary seat is a contest between the Conservatives and Labour and it is not being targeted by any other party. The latest polling shows that Labour has a clear lead over the Conservatives in Hertford and Stortford. The party lead has fluctuated between the Tories and Labour with other parties far behind. What is clear is that it is a real contest, and voters wishing to defeat the Conservative government should unite behind Labour in Hertford and Stortford.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Hertford and Stortford

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 35.63%
Labour 40.10%
Liberal Democrats 10.43%
Reform 6.92%
Green 4.78%
Other 2.03%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Hertford and Stortford?


What's happened in Hertford and Stortford

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 20

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

52m 23s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 40m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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