Tactical voting

Surrey Heath

Our tactical voting recommendation in Surrey Heath:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Surrey Heath?

Surrey Heath and its predecessor constituencies have long been safe Conservative seats but this pattern seems to be changing. The Liberal Democrats did well in the May 2023 local government elections and Labour is not treating Surrey Heath as a target seat. Its previous high-profile MP, Michael Gove, is also standing down. Polling consistently indicates that there is an anti-Conservative majority in the seat, although the leading party and the distribution of the anti-Tory vote have varied. The latest research shows the Liberal Democrats gaining support and not far behind the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats would be in a winning position if enough people currently intending to vote Labour switched to support them in the local contest.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Surrey Heath?

It looks like Surrey Heath is a Liberal Democrats target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Surrey Heath

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.32%
Labour 28.90%
Liberal Democrats 22.31%
Reform 10.99%
Green 4.04%
Other 1.37%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Surrey Heath?


What's happened in Surrey Heath

Energy Bills


Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)


visits (April 2017 - March 2018)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)


visits (April 2009 - March 2010)


visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)


1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

36m 43s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 1m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)



people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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